No, Personalized Medicine Isn’t Going To Save $600 Billion Over 50 Years By Preventing Heart Disease
The hype over personalized medicine has now reached astonishing new heights. In an article published in the Lancet, Victor Dzau, the new president of the Institute of Medicine, and coauthors write that personalized and precision medicine (PPM) could deliver hundreds of billions of dollars worth of improved health in the US over the next 50 years.
They used a health simulation model to estimate the effect of improved screening and risk prediction to treat people at high risk for 6 diseases: cancer, diabetes, heart disease, high blood pressure, lung disease, and stroke. They then calculated the resulting gains in life expectancy and quality-adjusted life expectancy.
They calculated that reducing heart disease by 50% “would generate a staggering $607 billion in improved health over 50 years.”